The outcomes of SAR regarding 2005 so you can 2017 was presented when you look at the Fig

The outcomes of SAR regarding 2005 so you can 2017 was presented when you look at the Fig

13. The median value of SARmm was 2.32 (Range: 1.76–3.86) per 100 000 000 persons. sugar daddy needed Miami Florida The median value of SARmf was 2.57 (Range: 1.38–3.28) per 100 000 000 persons. The median value of SARfm was 2.76 (Range: 1.84–4.26) per 100 000 000 persons. The median value of SARff was 2.11 (Range: 1.02–3.21) per 100 000 000 persons.

The SARmm, SARmf, SARfm and SARff estimated by model from 2005 to 2017 in Hubei. SAR: secondary attack rate; subscript mm, among male; mf, from male to female; fm, from female to male; ff, among female

Transmissibility in different intercourse–age groups

The top five values of the transmission relative rate, as indicated in Fig. 14 were ?61 (mean: 5.76 ? 10 -8 , 95% CI: 3.96 ? 10 ? 8 to 7.56 ? 10 -8 ), ?29 (mean: 5.32 ? 10 -8 , 95% CI: 3.91 ? 10 -8 to 6.74 ? 10 -8 ), ?34 (mean: 4.01 ? 10 -8 , 95% CI: 3.19 ? 10 -8 to 4.84 ? 10 -8 ), ?62 (mean: 7.52 ? 10 -9 , 95% CI: 3.23 ? 10 -9 to 1.18 ? 10 -8 ) and ?64 (mean: 6.04 ? 10 -9 , 95% CI: 2.41 ? 10 -9 to 9.67 ? 10 -9 ).

The transmission relative rate in different age and gender groups in 2010. ?0: transmission relative rate within female; ?ij refers to transmission relative rate of gender and age group from i to j, i and j represent subscript 1 to 6, subscript 1 was defined as male and ? 5 years old, 2 was male and between 6 to 59 years old, 3 was male and ? 60 years old, 4 was female and ? 5 years old, 5 was female and between 6 to 59 years old, and 6 was female and ? 60 years old; The data of 2010 were divided into 22 stages based on the following simulated periods, 1: from January 1 to 22, 2: from January 23 to February 5, 3: from February 6 to 18, 4: from February 19 to March 11, 5: from March 12 to 26, 6: from March 27 to April 14, 7: from April 15 to May 17, 8: from May 18 to 23, 9: from May 24 to June 11, 10: from June 12 to 25, 11: from June 26 to July 15, 12: from July 16 to 28, 13: from July 29 to August 23, 14: from August 24 to September 7, 15: from September 8 to 18, 16: from September 19 to October 8, 17: from October 9 to November 2, 18: from November 3 to 15, 19: from November 16 to 23, 20: from November 24 to 30, 21: from December 1 to 18, 22: from December 19 to 31

Susceptibility data

Based on the a lot of minutes the model ran, the fresh design wasn’t sensitive to the newest variables br, dr, f, q and you can ?’. How many times lay had been a similar for the indicate, imply – simple departure (SD) and you can suggest + SD opinions (Fig. 15). Our design is slight sensitive and painful that have variables ?, k and you may p (Fig. 16a,b,c). At the same time, high sensitiveness to parameter ? (0.0741) is actually demonstrated, once the represented when you look at the Fig. 16d.

This new susceptibility data off factor br, dr, f, q and ?’. A-male: br = 0.00002838; B-male: dr = 0.00001649; C-male: f = 0; D-male: q = 0.5135; E-male: ?’ = 0.0286; A-female: br = 0.00002838; B-female: dr = 0.00001649; C-female: f = 0; D-female: q = 0.5135; E-female: ?’ = 0.0286

New sensitiveness investigation out of parameter ?, k, p and ?. A-male: ? = 1; B-male: k = 0.3125; C-male: p = 0.1; D-male: ? = 0.0741; A-female: ? = 1; B-female: k = 0.3125; C-female: p = 0.1; D-female: ? = 0.0741

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